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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red287
331964.6
543793.1
303988.6
Blue165
142164.1
208082.5
36448.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2651990100300400500287165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#6
93.11.4
91.6→93.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.4
End48.6
red by 10.5
2080
#7
82.51.1
83.6→82.5
Auto6.0
Teleop38.2
End38.3
Second
3039
#12
88.61.3
87.2→88.5
Auto6.5
Teleop49.0
End33.1
red by 24.5
1421
#26
64.11.0
65.0→64.1
Auto9.5
Teleop26.5
End28.0
Third
3319
#28
64.61.3
63.3→64.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End30.2
red by 16.4
364
#40
48.21.1
49.3→48.2
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End15.5