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Red237
664047.0
299294.3
393796.9
Blue251
14178.9
452377.7
605560.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24920650100150300350400237251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.90.2
94.494.6
Auto10.3
Teleop53.1
End33.4
red by 18.0
141
#10
78.91.1
74.976.0
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End33.6
Second
94.30.2
91.892.0
Auto14.3
Teleop39.7
End40.3
red by 16.6
77.71.6
72.073.6
Auto10.1
Teleop34.6
End33.0
Third
6640
#37
47.00.2
44.544.7
Auto5.3
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 13.5
6055
#23
60.41.6
54.756.3
Auto11.0
Teleop30.1
End19.4