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Red140
93844.8
303988.6
449055.2
Blue240
191259.0
399172.0
361275.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2081820100300400140240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
88.66.1
84.778.6
Auto6.5
Teleop49.0
End33.1
red by 13.4
3612
#34
75.17.0
66.873.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.4
End36.3
Second
4490
#13
55.26.1
59.453.3
Auto6.2
Teleop31.0
End17.9
blue by 16.9
3991
#24
72.07.0
57.864.8
Auto7.2
Teleop24.8
End40.0
Third
938
#39
44.86.5
49.843.2
Auto9.2
Teleop31.1
End4.5
blue by 14.2
1912
#15
59.07.0
52.359.3
Auto6.8
Teleop30.3
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed