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Red170
452436.8
14178.9
457648.1
Blue284
605560.4
452377.7
303988.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1612080100300400170284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#10
78.91.0
75.974.9
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End33.6
blue by 9.7
3039
#12
88.66.5
78.685.2
Auto6.5
Teleop49.0
End33.1
Second
4576
#45
48.11.4
49.548.1
Auto4.0
Teleop28.4
End15.7
blue by 29.6
77.77.0
65.072.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.6
End33.0
Third
4524
#49
36.81.4
34.332.9
Auto3.1
Teleop23.9
End9.8
blue by 23.6
6055
#23
60.47.0
47.754.7
Auto11.0
Teleop30.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed