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Red185
554136.3
208082.5
452436.8
Blue145
672814.9
361667.4
515371.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461630100200300400185145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.54.6
75.980.5
Auto6.0
Teleop38.2
End38.3
red by 11.3
5153
#22
71.20.7
71.971.2
Auto8.2
Teleop28.7
End34.3
Second
4524
#49
36.83.9
32.936.8
Auto3.1
Teleop23.9
End9.8
blue by 30.5
3616
#11
67.40.7
64.964.2
Auto6.7
Teleop32.5
End28.2
Third
5541
#29
36.34.2
32.136.3
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End-3.0
red by 21.4
6728
#48
14.90.7
15.714.9
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End-6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed