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Red185
399172.0
3310108.2
16105.9
Blue270
303988.6
543793.1
331964.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313250100150200350400450500185270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.23.1
108.9105.8
Auto13.4
Teleop51.0
End43.8
red by 15.1
93.10.0
93.093.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.4
End48.6
Second
16
#4
105.93.1
106.6103.5
Auto11.3
Teleop45.0
End49.6
red by 17.3
3039
#12
88.60.0
88.588.5
Auto6.5
Teleop49.0
End33.1
Third
3991
#24
72.03.3
72.869.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.8
End40.0
red by 7.4
3319
#28
64.60.0
64.664.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End30.2