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Red399
399172.0
3310108.2
16105.9
Blue280
303988.6
543793.1
331964.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301252100200400500399280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.21.3
105.8107.2
Auto13.4
Teleop51.0
End43.8
red by 15.1
93.10.3
93.093.3
Auto10.1
Teleop34.4
End48.6
Second
16
#4
105.91.3
103.5104.9
Auto11.3
Teleop45.0
End49.6
red by 17.3
3039
#12
88.60.3
88.588.8
Auto6.5
Teleop49.0
End33.1
Third
3991
#24
72.01.4
69.570.9
Auto7.2
Teleop24.8
End40.0
red by 7.4
3319
#28
64.60.3
64.664.8
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End30.2