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Red170
608336.8
603528.1
425396.0
Blue290
559375.6
558452.5
620455.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177158050100200250300350170290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.06.3
95.989.6
Auto9.6
Teleop42.8
End43.6
red by 20.4
5593
#18
75.611.7
67.379.0
Auto6.7
Teleop34.3
End34.6
Second
6083
#24
36.86.8
41.534.7
Auto4.5
Teleop34.5
End-2.2
blue by 18.3
6204
#16
55.112.7
38.851.6
Auto7.7
Teleop27.1
End20.3
Third
6035
#28
28.16.3
28.622.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End2.6
blue by 24.3
5584
#13
52.512.7
46.859.6
Auto5.2
Teleop30.1
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed