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Red190
603536.2
4613114.7
652446.2
Blue185
647665.6
6579106.1
1772103.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1732560100200300400500190185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.70.9
111.5112.5
Auto21.6
Teleop46.4
End46.7
red by 8.6
106.13.1
95.992.8
Auto12.7
Teleop50.3
End43.0
Second
6524
#26
46.21.5
36.738.3
Auto5.9
Teleop26.1
End14.2
blue by 56.9
103.13.1
101.398.2
Auto12.6
Teleop50.3
End40.2
Third
6035
#15
36.20.9
27.828.7
Auto5.2
Teleop31.3
End-0.3
blue by 29.4
6476
#29
65.65.2
34.829.6
Auto6.1
Teleop39.2
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
12%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed