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Red81
472951.2
644737.7
650957.3
Blue70
606348.1
598847.4
618739.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13013070901101208170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.322.1
57.335.2
Auto6.8
Teleop28.3
End22.2
red by 9.3
48.16.5
38.632.1
Auto11.4
Teleop30.4
End6.3
Second
4729
#22
51.24.7
43.739.0
Auto1.9
Teleop25.8
End23.5
red by 3.7
5988
#17
47.46.5
42.035.5
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End10.9
Third
6447
#23
37.72.5
37.735.2
Auto5.2
Teleop28.3
End4.1
blue by 2.0
6187
#11
39.76.5
42.736.3
Auto6.4
Teleop28.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed