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Red140
508777.5
533326.3
598847.4
Blue165
618739.7
598597.0
652446.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411800100300400500140165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5087
#20
77.50.0
69.669.6
Auto3.3
Teleop32.6
End41.7
blue by 19.5
5985
#14
97.00.0
91.791.7
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End47.4
Second
5988
#17
47.40.1
33.433.5
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 1.2
6524
#26
46.20.1
38.338.2
Auto5.9
Teleop26.1
End14.2
Third
5333
#38
26.30.1
36.336.4
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End-2.5
blue by 13.3
6187
#11
39.70.1
35.535.4
Auto6.4
Teleop28.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed