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Red160
533326.3
598597.0
644924.7
Blue165
473941.6
647665.6
4253109.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195193100150250300160165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#14
97.01.5
96.695.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End47.4
blue by 12.2
109.23.0
96.093.0
Auto11.1
Teleop45.0
End53.1
Second
5333
#38
26.32.6
46.744.1
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End-2.5
blue by 39.2
6476
#29
65.630.7
65.634.8
Auto6.1
Teleop39.2
End20.3
Third
6449
#36
24.712.6
24.737.3
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End-5.1
blue by 16.9
4739
#31
41.63.0
49.646.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed