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Red220
560687.5
650957.3
677042.4
Blue115
600738.8
598847.4
564860.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18615650100250300350400220115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.54.4
80.685.0
Auto9.6
Teleop35.6
End42.3
red by 27.6
5648
#24
60.03.8
60.856.9
Auto11.8
Teleop30.7
End17.5
Second
57.34.4
50.354.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.3
End22.2
red by 9.9
5988
#17
47.43.8
46.542.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End10.9
Third
6770
#27
42.44.4
42.046.4
Auto4.0
Teleop26.2
End12.2
red by 3.6
6007
#32
38.83.8
44.941.0
Auto2.7
Teleop27.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed