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Red251
644737.7
4613114.7
560687.5
Blue230
605073.8
647665.6
652446.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2641580100200300400251230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.71.0
114.9115.9
Auto21.6
Teleop46.4
End46.7
red by 40.9
6050
#21
73.85.3
66.872.1
Auto10.3
Teleop38.6
End25.0
Second
87.51.4
85.086.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.6
End42.3
red by 22.0
6476
#29
65.65.8
58.464.2
Auto6.1
Teleop39.2
End20.3
Third
6447
#23
37.71.2
36.537.7
Auto5.2
Teleop28.3
End4.1
blue by 8.5
6524
#26
46.25.8
39.345.1
Auto5.9
Teleop26.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
28%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed