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Red200
564860.0
4613114.7
3132100.2
Blue305
598597.0
650893.8
605073.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092660100200400500200305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.71.8
116.3114.5
Auto21.6
Teleop46.4
End46.7
red by 17.7
5985
#14
97.01.0
95.096.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End47.4
Second
100.21.8
101.8100.0
Auto22.7
Teleop44.9
End32.6
red by 6.4
93.81.3
91.392.6
Auto8.2
Teleop36.7
End48.8
Third
5648
#24
60.02.0
61.759.8
Auto11.8
Teleop30.7
End17.5
blue by 13.9
6050
#21
73.81.2
71.672.8
Auto10.3
Teleop38.6
End25.0