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Red235
266261.1
394496.6
641391.2
Blue205
637263.8
2403105.2
248696.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423070100200400500600700800235205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.60.2
82.782.4
Auto7.6
Teleop41.2
End47.8
blue by 8.5
105.25.2
111.9106.7
Auto9.5
Teleop52.6
End43.0
Second
6413
#12
91.20.2
96.396.1
Auto7.1
Teleop35.4
End48.7
blue by 4.9
2486
#23
96.25.2
103.798.5
Auto14.3
Teleop45.2
End36.7
Third
2662
#10
61.10.2
59.659.3
Auto5.5
Teleop32.7
End22.9
blue by 2.7
6372
#24
63.85.2
67.862.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End29.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed