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Red235
498101.7
248696.2
456589.0
Blue245
2403105.2
247897.0
99192.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3633010200600800235245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#19
101.76.8
114.6107.8
Auto11.3
Teleop49.1
End41.3
blue by 3.5
105.23.3
113.9110.7
Auto9.5
Teleop52.6
End43.0
Second
2486
#23
96.26.8
113.0106.2
Auto14.3
Teleop45.2
End36.7
blue by 0.8
97.03.3
96.393.0
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End35.2
Third
4565
#26
89.06.8
109.7102.8
Auto12.2
Teleop35.3
End41.5
blue by 3.1
991
#4
92.13.3
83.680.3
Auto9.7
Teleop49.3
End33.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed