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Red310
498101.7
2403105.2
247897.0
Blue255
394496.6
99192.1
414665.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202400100200300500600700310255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.20.6
108.2107.6
Auto9.5
Teleop52.6
End43.0
red by 8.5
96.60.2
93.793.9
Auto7.6
Teleop41.2
End47.8
Second
498
#19
101.70.6
104.7104.1
Auto11.3
Teleop49.1
End41.3
red by 9.6
991
#4
92.10.2
89.189.4
Auto9.7
Teleop49.3
End33.1
Third
97.00.6
100.099.4
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End35.2
red by 31.2
4146
#18
65.80.2
62.863.0
Auto10.4
Teleop36.2
End19.2