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Red255
498101.7
2403105.2
247897.0
Blue345
394496.6
99192.1
414665.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122470100200300500600700255345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.21.2
106.3105.2
Auto9.5
Teleop52.6
End43.0
red by 8.5
96.60.1
95.295.1
Auto7.6
Teleop41.2
End47.8
Second
498
#19
101.71.2
102.8101.7
Auto11.3
Teleop49.1
End41.3
red by 9.6
991
#4
92.10.1
90.790.5
Auto9.7
Teleop49.3
End33.1
Third
97.01.2
98.197.0
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End35.2
red by 31.2
4146
#18
65.80.1
64.364.2
Auto10.4
Teleop36.2
End19.2