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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Arizona North Regional
Red260
414670.1
653095.0
6085.2
Blue295
330976.6
149286.8
119771.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24724050100150200300350400260295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6530
#2
95.00.5
89.4→89.9
Auto8.5
Teleop37.6
End49.0
red by 8.2
1492
#8
86.81.5
84.8→86.3
Auto5.8
Teleop40.6
End40.3
Second
60
#3
85.20.5
79.5→80.1
Auto12.5
Teleop36.4
End36.2
red by 8.6
3309
#24
76.61.5
74.6→76.1
Auto8.9
Teleop44.0
End23.7
Third
4146
#14
70.10.5
64.4→65.0
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End31.5
blue by 1.4
1197
#20
71.51.5
69.5→71.1
Auto7.0
Teleop28.4
End36.2