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Red235
116067.9
631480.4
101180.3
Blue111
415365.9
641354.5
418379.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240214100150200300350235111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.40.3
78.979.2
Auto5.2
Teleop33.3
End41.9
red by 1.0
4183
#18
79.42.4
81.779.4
Auto12.5
Teleop42.1
End24.8
Second
1011
#15
80.30.3
78.979.1
Auto9.1
Teleop47.4
End23.8
red by 14.4
4153
#10
65.92.4
68.365.9
Auto10.0
Teleop28.0
End27.9
Third
1160
#27
67.90.3
66.566.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.3
End38.0
red by 13.4
54.52.4
56.954.5
Auto7.1
Teleop33.6
End13.7