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Red190
116067.9
456594.6
622143.1
Blue205
641354.5
653095.0
248693.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15218750100250300190205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.64.5
55.359.8
Auto12.5
Teleop39.8
End42.3
blue by 0.5
95.03.6
64.568.0
Auto8.5
Teleop37.6
End49.0
Second
1160
#27
67.94.5
56.861.3
Auto5.6
Teleop24.3
End38.0
blue by 25.5
2486
#17
93.43.6
66.570.1
Auto15.6
Teleop34.6
End43.2
Third
6221
#40
43.14.5
37.542.0
Auto3.1
Teleop35.0
End5.1
blue by 11.4
54.53.6
41.945.4
Auto7.1
Teleop33.6
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed