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Red265
99169.5
99679.3
418379.4
Blue95
648242.3
505929.7
498553.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18710905015025030035026595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#18
79.49.7
72.181.8
Auto12.5
Teleop42.1
End24.8
red by 26.1
4985
#32
53.32.2
40.238.0
Auto4.1
Teleop20.6
End28.6
Second
996
#5
79.39.7
47.957.6
Auto10.5
Teleop36.2
End32.6
red by 36.9
6482
#34
42.32.2
29.527.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.2
End16.9
Third
991
#19
69.59.7
47.457.1
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End26.1
red by 39.7
5059
#39
29.72.2
45.142.9
Auto2.5
Teleop22.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed