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Red160
11597.6
612733.7
418379.4
Blue212
330976.6
84282.4
116067.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1532170100300400500160212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#16
97.62.2
45.743.6
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End49.9
red by 15.2
842
#11
82.41.7
73.371.6
Auto14.8
Teleop34.8
End32.8
Second
4183
#18
79.42.2
65.563.3
Auto12.5
Teleop42.1
End24.8
red by 2.8
3309
#24
76.61.7
74.672.9
Auto8.9
Teleop44.0
End23.7
Third
6127
#43
33.72.2
43.441.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.9
End3.1
blue by 34.2
1160
#27
67.91.7
49.647.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.3
End38.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed