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Red265
182850.1
631480.4
84282.4
Blue145
357753.5
664138.3
119771.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231450100200300400265145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#11
82.46.6
83.089.6
Auto14.8
Teleop34.8
End32.8
red by 10.9
1197
#20
71.50.4
58.558.1
Auto7.0
Teleop28.4
End36.2
Second
80.46.6
74.080.6
Auto5.2
Teleop33.3
End41.9
red by 26.9
3577
#25
53.50.4
52.351.9
Auto5.9
Teleop26.4
End21.2
Third
1828
#22
50.16.6
44.350.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.2
End22.4
red by 11.7
6641
#38
38.30.4
37.937.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed