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Red165
413550.6
520749.2
248693.4
Blue256
301966.4
631480.4
99679.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173211100300400165256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#17
93.40.4
87.587.1
Auto15.6
Teleop34.6
End43.2
red by 13.1
80.45.4
73.478.8
Auto5.2
Teleop33.3
End41.9
Second
4135
#47
50.60.4
39.539.1
Auto6.6
Teleop24.5
End19.5
blue by 28.7
996
#5
79.35.4
67.973.3
Auto10.5
Teleop36.2
End32.6
Third
5207
#33
49.20.4
42.441.9
Auto9.8
Teleop24.8
End14.6
blue by 17.2
3019
#12
66.45.4
53.959.3
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End33.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed