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Red195
99169.5
116565.7
116067.9
Blue157
318739.3
101180.3
247857.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192187100150250300195157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#19
69.51.2
67.668.8
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End26.1
blue by 10.9
1011
#15DQ
80.32.1
74.472.4
Auto9.1
Teleop47.4
End23.8
Second
1160
#27
67.91.3
55.056.3
Auto5.6
Teleop24.3
End38.0
red by 10.2
2478
#31DQ
57.71.9
60.258.4
Auto5.0
Teleop25.8
End26.9
Third
1165
#35
65.71.3
59.360.5
Auto9.2
Teleop36.3
End20.2
red by 26.4
3187
#41DQ
39.31.9
43.641.7
Auto6.4
Teleop36.7
End-3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed