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Red255
116565.7
101180.3
435561.2
Blue195
484148.9
99169.5
631480.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197209100150250300350255195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#15DQ
80.35.9
72.478.2
Auto9.1
Teleop47.4
End23.8
blue by 0.1
80.40.1
78.878.6
Auto5.2
Teleop33.3
End41.9
Second
1165
#35
65.75.9
60.566.4
Auto9.2
Teleop36.3
End20.2
blue by 3.8
991
#19
69.50.1
68.868.7
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End26.1
Third
4355
#28
61.25.4
55.861.2
Auto3.9
Teleop32.0
End25.2
red by 12.3
4841
#42
48.90.1
49.148.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.0
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed