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Red255
99679.3
300962.1
119771.5
Blue235
116067.9
669733.2
237566.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2071430100300400500255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
996
#5
79.35.5
73.378.8
Auto10.5
Teleop36.2
End32.6
red by 11.4
1160
#27
67.96.2
56.362.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.3
End38.0
Second
1197
#20
71.56.0
57.663.6
Auto7.0
Teleop28.4
End36.2
red by 5.0
2375
#26
66.55.7
60.866.5
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End29.4
Third
3009
#21
62.15.5
56.662.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End22.8
red by 29.0
6697
#37
33.26.2
27.734.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed