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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Arizona West Regional
Red255
394484.0
1492101.9
4565109.7
Blue280
1726100.5
266262.9
69887.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242480100200400500600255280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#8
109.70.9
110.1→109.2
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End48.6
red by 9.2
1726
#18
100.50.2
98.7→98.9
Auto13.1
Teleop45.2
End42.1
Second
1492
#5
101.90.9
102.3→101.4
Auto10.7
Teleop48.6
End42.5
red by 14.5
698
#12
87.30.3
85.3→85.6
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End37.6
Third
3944
#19
84.01.0
84.4→83.4
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End45.9
red by 21.1
2662
#9
62.90.3
60.9→61.1
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End22.1