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Red305
394484.0
1492101.9
4565109.7
Blue421
1726100.5
266262.9
69887.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321250100200400500600305421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.70.2
109.4109.7
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End48.6
red by 9.2
1726
#18
100.51.1
99.1100.2
Auto13.1
Teleop45.2
End42.1
Second
101.90.2
101.6101.9
Auto10.7
Teleop48.6
End42.5
red by 14.5
698
#12
87.31.2
85.887.0
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End37.6
Third
3944
#19
84.00.3
83.784.0
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End45.9
red by 21.1
62.91.2
61.462.6
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End22.1