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Red310
498102.7
449677.4
318766.5
Blue255
313334.7
641384.6
69693.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194198150250300310255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#6
102.76.5
94.1100.7
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End46.6
red by 9.5
696
#33
93.24.6
83.488.0
Auto15.3
Teleop47.3
End30.6
Second
4496
#26
77.410.9
47.858.7
Auto9.0
Teleop35.2
End33.2
blue by 7.1
6413
#22
84.64.6
63.668.2
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End35.1
Third
66.56.5
45.051.6
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End18.9
red by 31.8
3133
#34
34.77.7
38.446.1
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed