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Red205
69693.2
318766.5
647970.8
Blue212
163335.4
330118.3
449677.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212207140160180220240260280300205212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#33
93.20.6
88.088.6
Auto15.3
Teleop47.3
End30.6
blue by 25.1
330
#1
118.30.6
111.6112.2
Auto18.7
Teleop61.9
End37.7
Second
6479
#31
70.80.9
56.957.9
Auto5.7
Teleop31.3
End33.8
blue by 6.6
4496
#26
77.41.1
58.759.7
Auto9.0
Teleop35.2
End33.2
Third
66.50.6
51.652.1
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End18.9
red by 31.1
1633
#41
35.41.1
32.233.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed