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Red146
284444.7
1492101.9
301975.0
Blue185
266262.9
484168.4
99183.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341890100300400500600700146185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.94.7
95.891.1
Auto10.7
Teleop48.6
End42.5
red by 18.3
991
#13
83.60.0
75.275.1
Auto7.8
Teleop49.3
End26.5
Second
3019
#20
75.04.7
84.379.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End35.5
red by 6.6
4841
#14
68.40.0
65.965.9
Auto9.0
Teleop27.2
End32.2
Third
2844
#24
44.77.8
36.328.5
Auto4.3
Teleop32.0
End8.4
blue by 18.2
62.90.0
44.344.2
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed