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Qual 152017 BattleCry 18
Red237
498761.5
405589.4
234271.6
Blue235
998857.5
172984.7
676395.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238246100150200300350237235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#11
89.40.2
93.4→93.2
Auto6.1
Teleop41.6
End41.7
blue by 5.8
6763
#53
95.31.0
107.3→108.3
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End40.6
Second
2342
#49
71.60.2
86.4→86.1
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End37.4
blue by 13.1
1729
#18
84.71.0
73.5→74.5
Auto9.1
Teleop35.7
End39.8
Third
4987
#57
61.50.2
60.4→60.2
Auto7.5
Teleop40.3
End13.7
red by 4.0
9988
#9
57.51.7
38.8→40.5
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed