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Red255
412288.3
12665.0
46764.5
Blue309
503090.3
147465.2
371993.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241255100150200300255309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#45
88.30.9
104.8105.8
Auto10.8
Teleop35.5
End42.0
blue by 5.0
93.35.3
95.8101.0
Auto11.9
Teleop51.3
End30.1
Second
126
#31
65.00.9
67.068.0
Auto6.2
Teleop38.8
End20.0
blue by 25.3
90.35.3
84.890.1
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End42.1
Third
467
#17
64.50.9
69.470.3
Auto5.4
Teleop28.8
End30.4
blue by 0.7
1474
#24
65.25.3
49.554.8
Auto7.3
Teleop39.1
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed