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Red311
207968.4
71682.3
18195.0
Blue155
46764.5
415170.2
12182.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23627104006008001,000311155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#26
95.05.5
82.888.3
Auto9.4
Teleop42.9
End42.7
red by 12.5
121
#32
82.46.5
91.785.1
Auto9.6
Teleop41.2
End31.7
Second
716
#16
82.35.5
80.085.5
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End32.5
red by 12.1
4151
#55
70.26.5
85.278.7
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End25.1
Third
2079
#30
68.45.5
65.671.1
Auto3.8
Teleop29.3
End35.4
red by 3.9
467
#17
64.56.5
76.069.4
Auto5.4
Teleop28.8
End30.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed