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Red183
23897.9
31995.6
173564.7
Blue150
417671.2
17282.6
13850.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263267160180200220240280300183150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#14Sur
97.94.9
84.980.0
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End41.5
red by 15.4
172
#46
82.67.5
90.983.4
Auto3.6
Teleop36.2
End42.7
Second
319
#3
95.64.9
85.380.4
Auto8.7
Teleop45.9
End41.0
red by 24.3
4176
#50Sur
71.27.5
82.875.3
Auto8.4
Teleop43.0
End19.9
Third
1735
#25
64.74.9
81.676.7
Auto7.7
Teleop31.5
End25.5
red by 14.7
138
#59
50.07.5
78.971.4
Auto3.8
Teleop27.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed