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Red211
498761.5
110064.1
71682.3
Blue310
128971.8
17685.4
287797.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192670100300400500211310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#16
82.30.5
82.481.9
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End32.5
blue by 15.0
97.33.9
87.090.9
Auto9.5
Teleop38.0
End49.8
Second
1100
#47
64.10.5
70.970.4
Auto7.9
Teleop32.8
End23.4
blue by 21.3
176
#4
85.43.9
81.185.0
Auto7.6
Teleop44.3
End33.5
Third
4987
#57
61.50.5
60.259.7
Auto7.5
Teleop40.3
End13.7
blue by 10.3
1289
#39
71.83.9
78.782.6
Auto8.2
Teleop34.6
End29.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed