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Red140
17394.2
415170.2
355538.6
Blue215
371993.3
234271.6
323674.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21128104006008001,000140215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#23
94.24.6
95.090.4
Auto7.5
Teleop40.0
End46.6
red by 0.8
93.33.6
101.097.5
Auto11.9
Teleop51.3
End30.1
Second
4151
#55
70.24.6
77.172.5
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End25.1
blue by 4.2
3236
#43
74.43.6
71.267.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End34.8
Third
3555
#58
38.64.6
37.332.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End16.6
blue by 33.0
2342
#49
71.63.6
86.182.6
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End37.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed