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Red254
17685.4
133101.9
46764.5
Blue197
555670.8
83972.3
234271.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672240100300400500254197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
101.91.6
99.197.5
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End41.8
red by 29.5
839
#48
72.31.8
73.872.0
Auto10.9
Teleop32.5
End28.9
Second
176
#4
85.41.6
85.083.4
Auto7.6
Teleop44.3
End33.5
red by 13.8
2342
#49
71.61.8
82.680.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End37.4
Third
467
#17
64.51.6
64.362.7
Auto5.4
Teleop28.8
End30.4
blue by 6.3
5556
#37
70.81.8
62.260.4
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End32.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed