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Red255
490992.7
12182.4
234271.6
Blue351
4564117.2
208495.0
371993.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813340100200400500255351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#20
92.71.2
105.8104.5
Auto8.9
Teleop40.4
End43.4
blue by 24.5
4564
#19
117.22.4
119.7122.1
Auto12.4
Teleop49.2
End55.7
Second
121
#32
82.41.2
87.185.8
Auto9.6
Teleop41.2
End31.7
blue by 12.6
2084
#13
95.02.4
100.8103.2
Auto9.4
Teleop46.2
End39.4
Third
2342
#49
71.61.2
80.879.6
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End37.4
blue by 21.7
93.32.4
89.892.1
Auto11.9
Teleop51.3
End30.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed69%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed