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Qual 532017 BattleCry 18
Red307
287797.3
555670.8
999103.8
Blue353
105899.3
503090.3
18195.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683020100200400500600307353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#36
103.83.2
102.5→105.7
Auto13.1
Teleop53.9
End36.8
red by 4.4
1058
#10
99.34.7
104.7→109.4
Auto13.0
Teleop57.7
End28.6
Second
2877
#8
97.33.2
93.0→96.2
Auto9.5
Teleop38.0
End49.8
red by 2.3
181
#26
95.04.7
89.5→94.2
Auto9.4
Teleop42.9
End42.7
Third
5556
#37
70.83.2
63.3→66.5
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End32.5
blue by 19.5
5030
#7
90.34.7
88.2→92.9
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End42.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsMissed11%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed