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Qual 592017 BattleCry 18
Red205
88572.7
133101.9
128971.8
Blue250
998857.5
371993.3
19091.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265269200250300350205250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
101.94.3
96.2→91.8
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End41.8
red by 8.5
3719
#5
93.30.2
92.1→92.0
Auto11.9
Teleop51.3
End30.1
Second
885
#44
72.74.3
78.3→73.9
Auto8.1
Teleop35.0
End29.6
blue by 18.3
190
#22
91.00.2
89.8→89.7
Auto11.3
Teleop43.3
End36.4
Third
1289
#39
71.84.3
80.5→76.2
Auto8.2
Teleop34.6
End29.0
red by 14.2
9988
#9
57.50.3
70.6→70.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed