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Red187
147465.2
13850.0
498761.5
Blue237
405589.4
584683.6
18195.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1663030100200400500187237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#24
65.20.8
61.862.6
Auto7.3
Teleop39.1
End18.9
blue by 29.7
181
#26
95.02.2
94.292.0
Auto9.4
Teleop42.9
End42.7
Second
4987
#57
61.50.8
54.955.7
Auto7.5
Teleop40.3
End13.7
blue by 27.9
4055
#11
89.42.2
90.788.5
Auto6.1
Teleop41.6
End41.7
Third
138
#59
50.00.8
58.559.3
Auto3.8
Teleop27.2
End18.9
blue by 33.6
5846
#42
83.62.2
85.383.1
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End36.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed