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Red255
417671.2
17685.4
12182.4
Blue271
503090.3
405589.4
415170.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2452620100200300400500255271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#4
85.41.4
84.085.4
Auto7.6
Teleop44.3
End33.5
blue by 5.0
90.30.9
89.190.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End42.1
Second
121
#32
82.41.4
81.182.4
Auto9.6
Teleop41.2
End31.7
blue by 7.0
4055
#11
89.40.9
88.589.4
Auto6.1
Teleop41.6
End41.7
Third
4176
#50
71.21.4
69.671.0
Auto8.4
Teleop43.0
End19.9
red by 1.1
4151
#55
70.20.9
69.270.2
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End25.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed