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Red286
173564.7
18195.0
19091.0
Blue257
412288.3
676395.3
4564117.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403420100200300400500600286257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#26
95.03.0
92.095.0
Auto9.4
Teleop42.9
End42.7
blue by 22.3
4564
#19
117.23.7
120.9117.2
Auto12.4
Teleop49.2
End55.7
Second
190
#22
91.03.0
87.990.9
Auto11.3
Teleop43.3
End36.4
blue by 4.3
6763
#53
95.33.7
98.995.3
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End40.6
Third
1735
#25
64.73.0
61.764.7
Auto7.7
Teleop31.5
End25.5
blue by 23.7
4122
#45
88.33.7
92.088.3
Auto10.8
Teleop35.5
End42.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed