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Semifinal 1-12017 BattleCry 18
Red318
83972.3
31995.6
133101.9
Blue260
13185.2
23897.9
323674.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26529502004006008001,0001,2001,400318260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
101.91.0
96.9→97.9
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End41.8
red by 3.9
238
#14
97.90.1
100.6→100.5
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End41.5
Second
319
#3
95.61.0
90.6→91.6
Auto8.7
Teleop45.9
End41.0
red by 10.3
131
#56
85.20.1
87.9→87.7
Auto12.2
Teleop45.0
End28.0
Third
839
#48
72.31.0
67.4→68.3
Auto10.9
Teleop32.5
End28.9
blue by 2.0
3236
#43
74.40.1
77.0→76.9
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End34.8