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Semifinal 1-22017 BattleCry 18
Red251
83972.3
31995.6
133101.9
Blue260
13185.2
23897.9
323674.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26929404006008001,0001,2001,4001,600251260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
101.90.3
97.9→97.6
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End41.8
red by 3.9
238
#14
97.90.3
100.5→100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End41.5
Second
319
#3
95.60.3
91.6→91.3
Auto8.7
Teleop45.9
End41.0
red by 10.3
131
#56
85.20.3
87.7→87.4
Auto12.2
Teleop45.0
End28.0
Third
839
#48
72.30.3
68.3→68.1
Auto10.9
Teleop32.5
End28.9
blue by 2.0
3236
#43
74.40.3
76.9→76.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End34.8