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Semifinal 1-32017 BattleCry 18
Red394
83972.3
31995.6
133101.9
Blue170
13185.2
23897.9
323674.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26829304006008001,0001,2001,4001,600394170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
101.92.0
97.6→99.7
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End41.8
red by 3.9
238
#14
97.92.2
100.1→97.9
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End41.5
Second
319
#3
95.62.0
91.3→93.3
Auto8.7
Teleop45.9
End41.0
red by 10.3
131
#56
85.22.2
87.4→85.2
Auto12.2
Teleop45.0
End28.0
Third
839
#48
72.32.0
68.1→70.1
Auto10.9
Teleop32.5
End28.9
blue by 2.0
3236
#43
74.42.2
76.6→74.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End34.8